鲍威尔讲话鸽派不及预期 黄金顶背离回调修正

Core Points - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced a 25 basis point interest rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate from 4.25%-4.50% to 4.00%-4.25%, marking the first action since December of the previous year [3] - Market reactions were volatile, with major U.S. stock indices initially rising before sharply declining, and the U.S. dollar index hitting a new low since 2025 before rebounding [3] - Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments indicated a cautious approach to rate adjustments, framing the cut as a risk management measure [3] - The FOMC highlighted increased downside risks to employment and described economic activity as slowing, with inflation remaining relatively high [3] - The dot plot indicated expectations for two more rate cuts by the end of the year, with one dissenting opinion advocating for a 50 basis point cut [4][5] Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a significant drop following the FOMC announcement, trading around $3,660 after peaking at $3,706 [1][5] - Technical analysis suggests that after reaching new highs, gold is now in a corrective phase, with potential for further fluctuations depending on market strength [5]