Group 1: International Gold Market - International gold prices experienced fluctuations, with a peak of $3695.27 per ounce and a closing price of $3684.14 per ounce on September 17 [1] - The market saw a drop after reaching a high, with the lowest price recorded at $3660.03 per ounce during the same day [1] - Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, gold prices showed increased volatility, reaching a high of $3707 and a low of $3645 [4] Group 2: Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate to a range of 4.00%-4.25% [2] - The dot plot indicates expectations for two more rate cuts this year, with one official predicting a total reduction of 150 basis points by year-end [2] - The median unemployment rate forecast for the next two years has been adjusted to 4.4% and 4.3%, reflecting increased downside risks in the labor market [2][3] Group 3: Inflation and Economic Growth - Inflation has shown signs of rising, with the overall PCE expected to increase by 2.7% year-on-year in August, and core PCE rising by 2.9% [3] - The GDP growth forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been raised to 1.6%, 1.8%, and 1.9% respectively, indicating a more optimistic outlook for economic growth [2] - The impact of tariffs on inflation is considered to be temporary, contributing 0.3-0.4 percentage points to the core PCE price index [3]
美联储鸽派降息落地 国际黄金技术性回调暂歇
Jin Tou Wang·2025-09-18 02:45