国际白银走势震荡微涨 鲍威尔关注就业与通胀

Group 1: Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity of interest rate cuts due to significant changes in labor market risks, indicating a "lack of vitality and slight fatigue" in the current market [3][4] - Powell noted that the hiring rate is low, and an increase in layoffs could lead to a rapid rise in unemployment, highlighting the heightened risks facing employment missions [3] - Recent inflation data showed an increase, with August PCE figures at 2.7% overall and 2.9% core, driven mainly by rising commodity prices, which Powell expects to be a one-time increase [3][4] Group 2: Interest Rate Policy - The current policy remains "restrictive," with a 25 basis point rate cut seen as a "risk mitigation" measure aimed at transitioning to a more neutral rate level to support employment without exacerbating inflation [4] - Powell stated that a 50 basis point cut did not receive broad support, reflecting the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on significant easing [4] - The divergence in interest rate forecasts, as shown in the dot plot, stems from differing interpretations of the economic outlook and appropriate actions, which Powell described as normal in the current complex environment [4] Group 3: Silver Market Analysis - The key trend for international silver is at $40.5, with recent adjustments not breaking below $41, indicating a high-level consolidation [5] - Current trading range for silver is between $41 and $43, with support levels at $41.50 or $41.10 and resistance levels at $42.20 or $42.70 [5]