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国联民生证券:25H1物管行业盈利修复回款企稳 分红稳定红利凸显
智通财经网·2025-09-18 05:51

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guolian Minsheng Securities indicates a significant recovery in the profits of 59 sample listed property companies in the first half of 2025, with a total net profit of 10.06 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.0% due to improved expense ratios and reduced impairment impacts [1] Financial Performance - Revenue growth is slowing while profits are recovering, with total revenue of 147.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.1%, which is a slowdown of 1.9 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024, as companies focus on refining operations and cutting low-efficiency projects [1] - The total net profit of 10.06 billion yuan represents a year-on-year increase of 22.0%, with leading companies like China Resources Vientiane Life, Country Garden Services, and Poly Property showing the highest profits [1] - Gross profit margin stands at 19.4%, down 1.2 percentage points, primarily due to low payment willingness from owners and rising labor costs [1] - Selling and administrative expense ratio is 7.4%, down 0.5 percentage points, indicating positive results in cost reduction and efficiency improvement [1] Balance Sheet - Accounts receivable turnover days are approximately 114 days, a decrease of about 3 days compared to the first half of 2024, with state-owned enterprises performing best at around 70 days, significantly better than the industry average [2] - Total net cash amounts to 92.94 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year, with state-owned and quality private enterprises showing strong cash flow advantages, supporting ongoing dividend payments [2] Business Structure - Revenue from property management services increased by 7.6% year-on-year, accounting for 72.7% of total revenue, as companies focus on their core business and solidify their fundamentals [3] - Revenue from community value-added services decreased by 2.3%, as companies cut low-efficiency businesses to enhance quality [3] - Revenue from non-owner value-added services fell by 24.6%, influenced by a decline in new home sales, with its revenue share likely to continue decreasing [3] - Managed area and contracted area increased by 1.4% and 0.2% year-on-year, respectively, shifting focus from "scale expansion" to "refined management" and "profit quality enhancement" [3] Dividend and Buyback - Total dividends amount to 4.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, with leading companies like China Resources Vientiane Life, Wanwu Cloud, and China Overseas Property showing strong dividend intentions [4] - Share buybacks are progressing steadily, with companies like Wanwu Cloud, Greentown Service, and Country Garden Services continuing to repurchase shares to stabilize stock prices and enhance confidence [4] - Some leading property companies exhibit strong dividend intentions, with dividend yields at relatively high levels, showcasing good characteristics of dividend assets and long-term investment value [4] Investment Recommendations - The property management sector is still in an adjustment phase, with a shift in focus from scale expansion to operational efficiency and cash flow management [5] - Leading property companies maintain strong resilience in basic property management due to resource endowments, customer stickiness, and service capabilities, while continuously improving overall operational efficiency by exiting low-efficiency businesses and optimizing diversified business structures [5] - Recommendations include property management companies with high dividend intentions, good operational efficiency, and solid fundamentals, such as China Resources Vientiane Life (01209) and Wanwu Cloud (02602) [5]