YUNNAN BAIYAO(SZ:000538) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-18 10:18Core Viewpoint - The traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) sector is experiencing a phase of adjustment, with signs of resilience and potential recovery in profitability, supported by policy backing and market dynamics [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a pullback, while the TCM sector continued to adjust, with the TCM ETF (560080) declining by 0.91% for five consecutive days [1]. - The trading volume for the TCM ETF exceeded 120 million yuan, marking a 68% increase compared to the previous day [1]. - The TCM ETF has seen net inflows in 9 out of the last 10 days, accumulating over 150 million yuan, with the latest fund size exceeding 2.4 billion yuan, leading its peers significantly [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the TCM sector's total revenue was 172.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.95%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 19.1 billion yuan, down 9.31% [4]. - The operating cash flow improved by 30.77% year-on-year, reaching 16.96 billion yuan [4]. - The gross margin for the TCM sector in H1 2025 was 42.05%, a decrease of 1.01 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 11.04%, down 0.56 percentage points [4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trends - Despite short-term demand pressures, the retail pharmacy sector's consolidation is expected to enhance the market concentration of OTC products [7]. - Market shares for leading OTC products have increased, with notable gains for brands like Huazhu Sanjiu and Jiangzhong Pharmaceutical [7]. - The TCM sector is characterized by both new consumer demand and pharmaceutical attributes, suggesting a favorable investment outlook for the TCM ETF (560080) and related funds [7].