全球数字服务贸易超4万亿美元，人工智能驱动增长

Core Insights - The global digital services trade is experiencing significant growth, with a projected scale of $4.64 trillion in 2024, marking an 8.3% increase from the previous year [2] - Digital services now account for 53.4% of global service trade, although this is a slight decrease from 53.8% in 2023 due to a strong recovery in tourism services [2][7] - The United States leads in digital services exports, holding a 15.3% share of the global market, followed by the UK and Ireland [7] Digital Services Trade Growth - The digital services trade has expanded by 64.7% from 2019 to 2024, significantly outpacing the growth of goods trade (28.5%) and overall service trade (37.5%) during the same period [1] - The resilience and potential of digital services trade are highlighted, as it continues to grow despite fluctuations in traditional goods and services trade due to various global challenges [2] China's Digital Services Trade - China's digital services trade reached $385.76 billion in 2024, growing by 5.2%, with exports increasing by 6.1% and imports by 3.5% [9][13] - Digital services account for 36.7% of China's service trade, indicating room for further growth compared to the global average of 53.4% [9][13] - China ranks 7th globally in digital services trade, maintaining a net export surplus of $55.37 billion [13] Sector Performance - The ICT services sector is the largest contributor to China's digital services trade, accounting for $133.76 billion, with a growth contribution rate of 59.7% [13] - Personal entertainment services have shown remarkable growth, with export growth reaching 37.5% and imports at 27.9% [14] - Cross-border e-commerce is rapidly expanding, with a projected scale of $1.167 trillion in 2024, growing by 22.2% [8][14] Impact of Artificial Intelligence - The integration of artificial intelligence is reshaping digital trade across various dimensions, enhancing both supply and demand sides [14] - The potential for AI to significantly boost service trade growth rates is acknowledged, with optimistic scenarios suggesting increases of up to 18% by 2040 [14]