Toll Brothers(US:TOL) ZACKS·2025-09-18 16:31Core Viewpoint - Toll Brothers reported strong Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings and revenues, surpassing estimates and showing year-over-year growth despite economic challenges [2][4]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 were $3.73, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.59 by 3.9% and increasing 3.6% year-over-year [4]. - Total revenues reached $2,945.1 million, beating the consensus mark of $2,852 million and reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase [4]. Sales and Deliveries - Home sales revenues increased by 6% year-over-year to $2.9 billion, with home deliveries rising by 5% to 2,959 units [5]. - The average selling price (ASP) of homes delivered was $973,600, up 0.5% from the previous year [5]. Contracts and Backlog - Net-signed contracts decreased to 2,388 units from 2,490 units year-over-year, with a constant value of $2.4 billion [5]. - The backlog at the end of Q3 was 5,492 homes, down 19% year-over-year, with potential revenues from the backlog declining 10% to $6.38 billion [6]. Margins and Expenses - Adjusted home sales gross margin was 27.5%, a contraction of 130 basis points [7]. - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses as a percentage of home sales revenues were 8.8%, down 20 basis points from the previous year [7]. Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $852.3 million, down from $1.3 billion at the end of fiscal 2024 [8]. - The debt-to-capital ratio improved to 26.7% from 27% at the end of fiscal 2024 [8]. Future Guidance - For Q4, home deliveries are expected to be 3,350 units at an average price of $970,000-$980,000 [11]. - For fiscal 2025, home deliveries are anticipated to be around 11,200 units, reflecting growth from fiscal 2024 [12]. Market Sentiment - Estimates for the stock have trended downward, with a consensus estimate shift of -6.3% [14]. - Toll Brothers currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [16].