OKTA vs. Cisco Systems: Which Cybersecurity Stock Has an Edge?

Core Insights - Okta (OKTA) focuses on identity and access management, while Cisco Systems (CSCO) emphasizes Threat Intelligence, Detection, and Response offerings [1] - Global end-user spending on information security is projected to reach $213.025 billion in 2025, growing from $193.408 billion in 2024, with a year-over-year growth of 12.5% expected in 2026 [2] Okta Overview - Okta's new offerings, such as Okta Identity Governance and Identity Threat Protection with Okta AI, are driving market share growth and top-line revenue [3] - The company has a strong partner ecosystem, including major players like Amazon Web Services and Microsoft, enhancing its market position [4] - Okta is developing an end-to-end secure identity fabric for non-human identities (NHIs), providing visibility and governance similar to human identities [5] - For fiscal 2026, Okta anticipates revenues between $2.875 billion and $2.885 billion, reflecting a growth rate of 10-11%, lower than the 15% growth reported in fiscal 2025 [6] Cisco Overview - Cisco's security business is experiencing strong demand, with mid-single-digit growth in orders for Cisco Secure Access and XDR in Q4 of fiscal 2025 [7] - AI Infrastructure orders from webscale customers exceeded $800 million in Q4 of fiscal 2025, contributing to total revenues of $2 billion, which is double the initial expectations [8] - Cisco's partnership with NVIDIA aims to create AI-ready data center networks, enhancing its product offerings and market competitiveness [9] - For fiscal 2026, Cisco expects revenues between $59 billion and $60 billion, indicating a growth of 5.2% over fiscal 2025 [10] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Cisco shares have appreciated by 14.3%, while Okta shares have returned 14.2% [11] - Both companies are currently considered overvalued, with Cisco trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 4.47X compared to Okta's 5.17X [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cisco's fiscal 2026 earnings is $4.04 per share, reflecting a 6% increase, while Okta's estimate is $3.36 per share, indicating a 19.6% increase [18][19] Conclusion - Cisco's strong security portfolio and growing AI order backlog provide a competitive edge over Okta, which is gaining traction with its solutions and partner base [20]