宽松周期进一步确认 大宗商品价格支撑显著

Group 1: Federal Reserve Rate Cut Impact - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has been anticipated by the market, confirming a global easing cycle [1] - Following the rate cut, the US dollar index fell, leading to potential support for commodities priced in dollars, such as gold and copper [1][4] - The rate cut is expected to lower the interest income on dollar-denominated assets, prompting international capital to seek higher-yielding investments [4] Group 2: Gold Market Outlook - As of September 18, 2023, gold prices showed slight increases, with London spot gold at $3,654.58 per ounce and COMEX futures at $3,691.60 per ounce, both with daily gains of less than 1% [2] - Experts predict that gold prices may experience short-term fluctuations between $3,500 and $3,900 per ounce, with long-term support factors remaining intact [3] - The ongoing easing cycle by the Federal Reserve, combined with other factors, suggests that gold remains in a bull market [3] Group 3: Oil Market Dynamics - On the day of the Federal Reserve's rate cut, WTI crude oil futures closed at $64.05 per barrel, down 0.73%, while Brent crude futures closed at $67.95 per barrel, down 0.76% [5] - Analysts forecast that international oil prices are likely to experience a downward trend due to a supply surplus, with geopolitical factors providing limited support [6] - Seasonal demand fluctuations are expected to further impact oil prices, as the end of summer travel reduces gasoline consumption and the upcoming maintenance season in major markets will lead to decreased demand [7]