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中国银河证券:展望“十五五”时期 汽车销量有望受益于支撑内需政策的延续
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-19 00:34

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry in China is expected to benefit from policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and accelerating the development of new productive forces during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with a focus on technological innovation and global industrial chain layout [1] Group 1: Policy-Driven Domestic Demand - Short-term policies encouraging automotive consumption will likely continue, focusing on high-end models to avoid price wars and ineffective competition [1] - Long-term support for strong enterprises and encouragement of long-range plug-in hybrid/lightweight technologies are expected to drive steady growth in domestic automotive sales [1] Group 2: Electrification and Intelligentization - The penetration rate of electrification is continuously increasing, while intelligent features are rapidly being integrated into mid- to low-priced models [1] - The trend of "smart driving equality" may lead to a new round of industry elimination as companies upgrade their vehicles and components [1] Group 3: Globalization and Export Opportunities - Export markets are becoming a core source of incremental growth, with domestic brands accelerating their global layout due to technological and cost advantages [1] - Key regions for expansion include Europe, Southeast Asia, and emerging markets [1] Group 4: New Productive Forces Layout - Humanoid robots and low-altitude economy are expected to create new growth curves [1] - The ability of automotive and component companies to expand into emerging businesses will drive long-term growth [1]