Group 1 - The USD/JPY exchange rate is currently fluctuating between the 10-day and 200-day moving averages, with the latest rate at 148.0100, reflecting a slight increase of 0.01% [1] - The Federal Reserve has entered a rate-cutting cycle, but Powell's hawkish tone has reinforced the resilience of the US dollar [1] - Japan's core consumer price index (CPI) rose by 2.7% year-on-year in August, down from 3.1% in July, marking the slowest growth since November of the previous year [1] Group 2 - The market expects the Bank of Japan to maintain interest rates at its upcoming two-day meeting due to the slowdown in core inflation and domestic political uncertainty [1] - The indicator excluding fresh food and energy showed a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, slightly lower than the previous value of 3.4% [1] - Investors are focused on the policy guidance from Bank of Japan Governor Ueda after the meeting, with a potential 25 basis point rate hike in October still being considered [1] Group 3 - The USD/JPY exchange rate broke through the resistance level of 147.50-147.60 and surpassed the 148.00 mark, indicating a bullish technical outlook [1] - The daily momentum indicators suggest that buying pressure is increasing [1] - Key resistance levels are identified at the 200-day moving average of 148.55-148.60, with potential challenges to the 149.00 and 149.20 levels if broken [2]
核心通胀放缓高于目标 日本央行预期暂缓加息
Jin Tou Wang·2025-09-19 03:02