连续第五次！美联储降息后日本央行按兵不动，日股从历史高位跳水

Core Viewpoint - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 0.5%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without changes, amid expectations of a potential rate hike later this year [1][3][6] Economic Indicators - Japan's economy shows signs of moderate recovery despite some weaknesses, with exports and output remaining stable, and capital expenditure showing moderate growth [3][6] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Japan decreased from 3.1% in July to 2.7% in August, with core CPI also falling to 2.7%, the lowest level since November 2024 [3][4] Market Reactions - Following the BOJ's decision, the Japanese stock market initially reached historical highs but later turned negative, with the Nikkei 225 index dropping by 0.2% [4][5] - The yield on 2-year Japanese government bonds rose to 0.885%, the highest level since June 2008 [4] Future Expectations - There is a divergence in market expectations regarding a potential rate hike in October, with some analysts predicting an increase to 0.75% while others suggest a delay due to political uncertainties [6][7] - A survey indicated that most observers expect the BOJ to raise rates before January next year, with a 58% probability of a hike by the end of the year [7]