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高盛:中国股票市场或迎流动性盛宴,A股慢牛格局愈发稳固
Feng Huang Wang·2025-09-19 05:38

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the Chinese stock market has seen a significant increase in market value, with a cumulative rise of $3 trillion year-to-date, and the Shanghai Composite Index and Hang Seng Index have increased by 14.7% and 32.5% respectively [1] - Goldman Sachs maintains an "overweight" rating on A-shares and H-shares, predicting an upside potential of 8% and 3% respectively over the next 12 months, suggesting to accumulate during pullbacks [1][2] - The strong performance of the Chinese stock market is attributed to "reflation" expectations and artificial intelligence, with improvements in valuation and liquidity expected to further drive market prosperity [2] Group 2 - Institutional investors, both domestic and foreign, are identified as the main supporters of the current market rally, rather than retail investors [3] - If the domestic institutional ownership in China increases from the current 14% to 50% (emerging market average) or 59% (developed market average), the potential increase in domestic stock holdings could reach between 32 trillion to 40 trillion RMB [3] - The potential investment funds available from Chinese households are substantial, with savings deposits at 160 trillion RMB and real estate investments at 330 trillion RMB, although the adjustment in fund allocation is expected to be gradual and persistent [3]