Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-09-19 06:41Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector is experiencing a rebound, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing positive performance, indicating potential investment opportunities in the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The chemical ETF (516020) rose by 0.41% during the trading session, reflecting a positive trend in the chemical sector [1][2]. - Key stocks such as Zhongke Titanium, Guangdong Hongda, and others saw significant gains, with Zhongke Titanium and Guangdong Hongda both increasing over 7% [1]. Group 2: Industry Dynamics - The chemical industry is currently at a low point, necessitating the elimination of outdated production capacity to optimize supply-demand dynamics and promote high-quality development [1][4]. - There is a notable decline in new construction projects in the basic chemical sector, with the ratio of construction projects to fixed assets dropping to 24% in Q2 2025, down from 37% in Q2 2023, indicating a slowdown in capacity expansion [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The "anti-involution" movement within the chemical industry is expected to lead to a re-evaluation of the sector, with potential measures to slow global capacity expansion [5]. - The chemical sector is characterized by strong cash flow, and a slowdown in expansion could significantly enhance potential dividend yields, transforming the sector from a cash drain to a cash generator [5]. - The chemical ETF (516020) provides a diversified investment opportunity across various sub-sectors, with nearly 50% of its holdings in large-cap stocks, allowing investors to capitalize on strong market leaders [6].