Opera Limited (OPRA): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - Opera Limited is viewed positively due to its strong growth, innovative products, and attractive valuation, presenting a compelling investment opportunity in the mid-cap software sector [1][4]. Company Overview - Opera Limited is a global software and internet company founded in 1995, listed on Nasdaq, and focuses on delivering browsers and AI-driven products [2]. - The company has a diversified portfolio including Opera One, Opera GX, Opera Mini, and Opera Neon, catering to various user segments [2]. - As of Q2 2025, Opera reported 289 million monthly active users, with 206 million on mobile and 83 million on desktop, including 58 million in high-value Western markets [2]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, Opera's advertising revenue increased by 44% year-over-year, while search revenue grew by 11%, leading to an annualized ARPU of $1.97 [3]. - The company's MiniPay stablecoin wallet saw a 255% increase in activations, and VPN Pro upgrades contributed to monetization efforts [3]. - Opera has returned $477 million to shareholders since 2020 through buybacks and dividends, and holds $392 million in cash and investments, including a $258 million stake in OPay [3]. Valuation and Market Position - Despite facing challenges such as declining gross margins and rising operating expenses, Opera's valuation remains attractive, trading below five-year averages with a PEG ratio of 0.93 [4]. - The stock offers a 42% upside to its fair value of $33.32, supported by strong solvency, diversified revenue streams, and high ARPU growth [4]. - The company has maintained 17 consecutive quarters above the Rule of 40, indicating scalable and profitable growth [3][4]. Recent Developments - The bullish thesis on Opera has been reinforced by its core browser strength, user growth in Opera GX, and disciplined shareholder returns, with the stock appreciating approximately 10% since March 2025 [5]. - The emphasis on AI integration, MiniPay growth, and consistent performance under the Rule of 40 highlights the company's ongoing potential [5].