Core Viewpoint - The gold sector is shifting focus from acquisitions to maximizing output from existing tier-one assets, with major companies emphasizing disciplined growth and profitability over sheer volume [1][2][6]. Group 1: Company Strategies - AngloGold Ashanti aims for 85% of its output to come from tier-one assets by the mid-2030s, currently at 75% [1][14]. - Franco-Nevada and Wheaton Precious Metals advocate for selective growth and shareholder returns, emphasizing early-stage streaming to mitigate risks [3][4]. - Barrick Mining highlights the importance of high-quality mines for future production, with a focus on profitable growth rather than expansion for its own sake [4][10]. Group 2: Production and Financial Outlook - Barrick's Fourmile project is projected to produce 600,000-750,000 ounces of gold annually at all-in sustaining costs of approximately $650-750 per ounce [9]. - Agnico Eagle Mines expects five major projects to add 1.3-1.5 million ounces of annual production by 2030 [11]. - Kinross Gold forecasts about 500,000 ounces per year from the Great Bear project, with potential annual free cash flow nearing $1 billion at current prices [18]. Group 3: Market Conditions and Challenges - Despite record gold prices above $3,700, miners face challenges such as permitting delays and rising construction costs [6]. - The industry has historically struggled with maintaining discipline during bull markets, often leading to costly acquisitions [6]. - Companies are exploring partnerships and creative financing to navigate development challenges [7]. Group 4: Future Growth and Investments - Northern Star Resources plans a significant expansion of its KCGM mill, aiming to double output to 900,000 ounces by fiscal 2029 [20]. - Gold Fields' acquisition of Gold Road Resources will shift a significant portion of production to OECD countries, focusing on high-quality output [19]. - Zijin Mining is bundling eight non-Chinese producing gold mines into a major IPO, indicating a strategic move towards international cooperation [15][16].
Mining Forum Americas: Gold majors vow discipline