特朗普威胁“美国政府很可能10月1日关门”，民主党“准备大干一场”，这次“狼来了”要成真？

Core Points - The U.S. government is at risk of a shutdown as both Republican and Democratic short-term spending bills failed to pass in the Senate, with the deadline approaching for a new fiscal year on October 1 [1][2][3] - The Republican bill aimed to fund the government until November 21 and included $88 million for security funding, while the Democratic proposal totaled $1.5 trillion and included healthcare provisions [3][4] - The healthcare policy has become a central point of contention, with Democrats advocating for the extension of subsidies under the Affordable Care Act, while Republicans refuse to include healthcare provisions in their spending bill [5][6] Summary by Sections Legislative Actions - The Republican short-term spending bill passed the House with a narrow margin of 217 to 212 but failed in the Senate, receiving only 44 votes in favor against 48 opposed [1] - The Democratic alternative also failed to secure the necessary 60 votes, garnering 47 in favor and 45 against [1][2] Political Dynamics - The likelihood of a government shutdown is heightened compared to previous years, as Democrats have taken a firmer stance this time, influenced by internal party pressures and upcoming healthcare issues [2][6] - Polls indicate that voters prioritize Social Security, Medicare, and healthcare in funding discussions, with blame for the deadlock spread across party lines [2] Budgetary Implications - The current funding debate involves approximately $7 trillion of the federal budget, with only a quarter of it being discussed in the context of the temporary funding measures [7] - The inability to pass a budget on time has led to reliance on temporary funding measures, which has become a recurring issue due to partisan conflicts [7]