Core Viewpoint - The listing of Dahang Kegong, a leading manufacturer of folding bicycles, on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was marked by a record oversubscription of 7558 times, but the company faces significant challenges including reliance on OEM production, shrinking overseas markets, and an aging management team [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Dahang Kegong achieved a revenue of 451 million RMB in 2024, with a profit of 52.3 million RMB, showing stable growth in both revenue and profit [2]. - The sales volume of bicycles has been increasing, with notable growth rates, including a 46.5% increase in sales volume in the first four months of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023 [2]. Group 2: Product Diversification - The company is diversifying its product offerings beyond folding bicycles to include road bikes, mountain bikes, children's bikes, and electric assist bicycles, with the latter combining folding features and electric assistance [3]. - Despite diversification efforts, folding bicycles still accounted for 96.6%, 97.7%, and 97.4% of the company's sales revenue from 2022 to 2024 [3]. Group 3: Market Share and Distribution - According to data from Zhi Shi Consulting, Dahang Kegong holds a 26.3% market share in terms of retail volume and a 36.5% market share in terms of retail value in the folding bicycle market in mainland China [5]. - The company has established a comprehensive sales network, with 69.5% of revenue coming from distribution channels, and plans to open 50 direct stores, 80 shop-in-shops, and 70 dealerships by 2025 [5]. Group 4: Production and Capacity Issues - Dahang Kegong's production capacity is under scrutiny, with its Huizhou factory showing high utilization rates, reaching 114.1% in the first four months of 2025 [6]. - The proportion of bicycles produced by OEM suppliers has been increasing, with over 60% of products coming from OEM production in the first four months of 2025 [7][8]. Group 5: Management Concerns - The management team is aging, with the chairman and CEO being 83 years old, raising concerns about the company's strategic continuity and innovation capabilities [8].
折叠车新秀大行火爆上市背后，出海减速与代工依赖隐现