金信基金杨超：构建四维投资框架 看好芯片和大飞机方向

Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to continue its upward trend, with a focus on investment opportunities in the semiconductor and large aircraft sectors due to the increasing competitiveness of China's technology industry [1][2]. Investment Framework - The investment framework consists of four dimensions: cycle, growth, theme, and market style, which helps in selecting industries and stocks from an alpha perspective [1]. - The cycle dimension serves as the foundation, while the growth dimension addresses investment space. The theme and market style dimensions enhance investment efficiency [1]. Investment Strategy - Left-side positioning should not be blind bottom-fishing; it requires balancing time cost and return space, focusing on short-term profit improvement indicators [2]. - The semiconductor industry is highlighted for its growth potential due to domestic substitution, offering greater return space compared to traditional cyclical industries [2]. Specific Investment Directions - The semiconductor sector is favored due to the combination of cycle turning points and domestic substitution, along with AI empowerment opening new opportunities [3]. - The large aircraft industry is expected to enter a performance release phase as domestic production accelerates and delivery volumes increase [3]. - The innovative drug sector is gaining attention as international pharmaceutical companies frequently acquire rights to domestic new drugs, indicating the rising global competitiveness of Chinese innovative drugs [3]. - Cyclical industries and certain consumer sectors are anticipated to reach turning points as policies gradually take effect [4].