多重利好推动板块价值重估 游戏产业迎来“高光时刻”

Core Viewpoint - The gaming industry in China has shown unexpected strong performance in 2023, with significant increases in both product performance and stock prices, driven by factors such as continuous issuance of game licenses, successful new game launches, and effective overseas market expansion [1][2]. Industry Performance - From 2017 to 2024, China's gaming market sales revenue is projected to grow from 203.6 billion yuan to 325.8 billion yuan, with a notable turnaround beginning in the second half of last year [2]. - As of September 17, the Shenwan Gaming Industry Index closed above 4000 points, marking a new high since 2017, with an approximate 80% increase year-to-date, ranking third among Shenwan's secondary industry indices [2]. - Individual stocks have performed exceptionally well, with companies like ST Huatuo and Giant Network seeing increases of over 100%, and ST Huatuo's market capitalization surpassing 140 billion yuan [2]. Factors Driving Recovery - The continuous issuance of game licenses has been a significant factor in boosting industry confidence, with 1119 licenses issued by August, a notable year-on-year increase [2][3]. - The gaming market's actual sales revenue reached 168 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a 14.08% increase year-on-year, with the user base growing to 679 million [3]. - The overseas market for self-developed games generated approximately 6.8 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting an 11% year-on-year growth [3]. Product and Market Dynamics - High-revenue products disclosed by gaming companies have bolstered investor confidence, particularly in validating the business models of mobile games and the growth potential of mini-games [4]. - The successful launch of key games, such as Giant Network's "Supernatural Action Group," has significantly contributed to stock price increases, with the game showing rapid growth in user engagement and revenue [4][6]. - The trend of gaming companies focusing on high-quality content and overseas expansion has become more pronounced, moving away from reliance on low-quality or cloned games [5][7]. Future Outlook - The gaming industry is expected to maintain its positive trajectory due to the deep accumulation of resources and capabilities by domestic gaming companies, which have enhanced their ability to produce new products [6]. - The current growth model may evolve, with a shift from quantity to quality in game releases, emphasizing long-term operational capabilities and market insight [7].