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大摩:盈利上升基调有望延续至明年 内地互联网、医药、汽车等核心板块盈测获市场上调
智通财经网·2025-09-22 05:52

Group 1 - The MSCI China Index has shown strong performance, with a total return of 48% over the past 12 months and 38% year-to-date, ranking second globally after South Korea [1][2] - Structural improvements, including a rebound in return on equity (ROE), continuous capital flow into high-quality large-cap stocks, and increased support for private enterprises and innovation, have contributed to the positive market sentiment and earnings re-rating [1][2] - Earnings growth has been a key driver of the market's performance, with positive contributions from earnings per share (EPS) growth for three consecutive years since 2023, marking the first time since 2010 that EPS growth has consistently contributed positively [2] Group 2 - The forecast for future earnings growth in the Chinese stock market remains optimistic, particularly in core sectors such as internet, technology, pharmaceuticals, and automotive, with market adjustments to earnings predictions [2] - The intense price competition in the domestic e-commerce sector is expected to end this year, leading to a projected acceleration in earnings growth for the sector by 2026, with a temporary slowdown in 2025 viewed as a phase of adjustment [2]