国家发展改革委：9月第3周全国猪料比价环比下跌1.54% 预计下周养殖预期亏损继续增加

Core Insights - The national pig feed price ratio for the week of September 17, 2025, is reported at 5.12, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 1.54% [1] - The projected average profit per pig in the current fattening model is estimated to be -106.13 yuan, indicating a loss for pig farmers [1] Group 1: Price Trends - The average price of live pigs this week is 13.71 yuan per kilogram, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.58% [3] - The feed price remains stable at 2.68 yuan per kilogram, with no change from the previous week [3] - The balance point for the pig feed price ratio is noted at 5.45, indicating the threshold for profitability [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Increased supply from farmers actively selling pigs has led to a surplus, contributing to the decline in average pig prices [3] - Downstream demand has not increased significantly, resulting in a supply-demand imbalance that pressures prices downward [3] - Expectations for the upcoming week suggest that while the pace of price decline may slow due to farmers' reluctance to sell at low prices, overall demand remains insufficient to support a price rebound [3]