Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report maintains a "buy" rating for Anhui Wantuo Expressway (00995), highlighting significant earnings growth from the acquisition of group road assets and the accelerated recovery of toll income post-expansion of Xuan-Guan Expressway [1][2] - The company completed the acquisition of the group's Fuzhou-Zhou and Si-Xu expressways in Q1 2025, which significantly enhanced performance, with a reported net profit of 960 million RMB for the first half of 2025, reflecting a 4% year-on-year growth [1] - Toll revenue showed a notable increase, recovering to 90% of pre-expansion levels, with a year-on-year growth of 13%, driven by the accelerated recovery of toll income in Q2 [1] Group 2 - The stock price has been pressured by changes in market risk appetite and a shareholder's announcement to reduce holdings, but the long-term value remains intact [2] - The company has a strong return on equity (ROE) consistently between 10-13%, indicating robust profitability within the industry [2] - Future policy optimizations in the toll road sector are expected to systematically reduce reinvestment risks [2] Group 3 - The company has committed to a high dividend policy, ensuring that cash dividends will not be less than 60% of net profit attributable to shareholders from 2025 to 2027 [3] - The estimated dividend yield for 2025-2027 is projected at 6.4%, 6.5%, and 6.1%, respectively, supported by stable cash flow and confirmed dividends [3] - The recent stock price adjustments have led to a decrease in the company's PE valuation, reinforcing its position as a preferred dividend payer in the transportation industry [3]
国泰海通:维持安徽皖通高速公路(00995)“增持”评级 目标价14.51港元