观察｜菲律宾或向乌克兰购买自杀式无人艇，但掀不起什么风浪

Core Viewpoint - The Philippines is in advanced discussions with Ukraine to establish a defense cooperation agreement focused on the introduction of suicide drones, with a potential agreement by the end of the year [1]. Group 1: Defense Cooperation - Ukraine's ambassador to the Philippines stated that both countries are working towards signing a defense cooperation memorandum by October, with a high-level Ukrainian delegation expected to visit Manila [1]. - The Philippines aims to enhance its naval capabilities through the acquisition of Ukrainian suicide drones, which are seen as a means to implement an asymmetric deterrence strategy in the South China Sea [8]. Group 2: Technology and Capabilities of Ukrainian Drones - Ukrainian suicide drones, such as the Magura V5, have demonstrated significant operational capabilities, including a maximum speed of 42 knots, a range of 833 kilometers, and a payload capacity of 320 kilograms [1]. - The Magura V5 has been involved in notable attacks against Russian naval assets, showcasing its effectiveness in modern warfare [3]. - The larger "Sea Baby" drone can carry an 860-kilogram warhead, indicating a substantial increase in destructive potential compared to other models [3]. Group 3: Operational Characteristics - Ukrainian drones exhibit strong stealth capabilities, with designs that minimize radar visibility, allowing them to operate effectively in challenging maritime conditions [6]. - The operational strategy includes coordinated attacks using multiple types of drones and drones in conjunction with unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) for reconnaissance and distraction [7]. - The flexibility of these drones allows for varied attack patterns, including swarm tactics that complicate enemy defenses [7]. Group 4: Strategic Implications for the Philippines - The introduction of Ukrainian drones could enable the Philippine Navy to conduct surveillance and reconnaissance, as well as group attacks against more powerful adversaries [8]. - The Philippines is looking to replicate Ukraine's success with drone warfare to compensate for its relatively weaker naval capabilities [9]. - However, the effectiveness of this strategy may be limited by the different operational environments and challenges posed by the South China Sea compared to the Black Sea [9].