Will AutoZone Stock Drop On Its Upcoming Earnings?

Group 1 - AutoZone is expected to announce earnings on September 23, 2025, with forecasted revenue of approximately $6.25 billion, reflecting a 1% increase from the previous year [2] - Projected earnings per share are around $51, which is roughly unchanged from last year, indicating stable performance [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $71 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months at $19 billion, operating profits of $3.7 billion, and net income of $2.6 billion [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that AutoZone has recorded 20 earnings data points over the last five years, with 7 positive and 13 negative one-day returns, resulting in a 35% chance of positive returns [6] - The percentage of positive one-day returns drops to 25% when considering the last three years, indicating a potential decline in performance [6] - The median of positive returns is 3.7%, while the median of negative returns is -2.8%, highlighting the variability in post-earnings performance [6]