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金价再创记录新高!机构:降息周期开启支撑金价,仍有上涨动力
Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-09-22 13:49

Group 1: Gold Price Surge - Gold prices have reached a new historical high of $3720 per ounce, with a daily increase of over 1% and a cumulative rise of over 12% since August 20 [1][6] - Year-to-date, gold prices have increased by more than 42% [1][6] Group 2: Market Reaction - U.S. gold stocks collectively surged over 5% in early trading, with notable increases in companies such as Barrick Mining and Newmont [4] - In the A-share market, gold-related stocks also saw significant gains, with Shengda Resources hitting the daily limit and Zhongjin Gold rising over 9% [5] Group 3: Future Predictions - Morgan Stanley has raised its gold price forecast, expecting spot gold to reach $3800 per ounce by Q4 2025 and potentially exceed $4000 in Q1 2026 [7] - UBS has also increased its target price for gold, projecting it to reach $3800 by the end of 2025, up from a previous estimate of $3500 [7] - Goldman Sachs maintains a target of $3700 for gold by the end of 2025 and $4000 by mid-2026, highlighting the potential for prices to exceed $4500 under certain conditions [8] Group 4: Economic Factors - The Federal Reserve's recent decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points has established a trend of gradually easing monetary policy, which is expected to support higher gold prices [6][9] - Analysts suggest that ongoing geopolitical tensions and concerns over U.S. economic policies are driving increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [8][10] Group 5: Institutional Demand - Central banks are continuing to purchase gold, with the demand being less sensitive to price fluctuations, which supports a bullish outlook for gold prices [10] - The trend of de-dollarization and geopolitical risks are prompting institutional investors to diversify their portfolios with gold, providing a solid support base for prices [10]