中欧瑞博吴伟志：以四季理论为指挥棒，放眼全市场投资

Market Overview - The current market shows a clear structural differentiation, with an overall temperature in the 40-50 degree range, indicating it is not overheated (80 degrees and above) [2][10] - According to the seasonal theory, the market is still in the spring-summer phase and has not yet transitioned to autumn or winter [2][8] Investment Strategy - The company has increased allocations in cyclical, technology, and pharmaceutical sectors while reducing exposure to high-dividend sectors [1][11] - Future investment opportunities will focus on artificial intelligence (AI) and innovative pharmaceuticals [1][11] Growth Stock Characteristics - Growth stocks should exhibit three key characteristics: significant future revenue and profit growth potential (3-5 times growth, with an average annual increase of 20% or more), a strong business model with pricing power, and an excellent management team [4][5] - Growth stocks are categorized into four types for investment decisions: new economy growth stocks, market share gainers, stable market share with profit enhancement, and cyclical growth stocks [4][5] Team-Based Research and Decision-Making - The company emphasizes a team-based investment research system, with nearly 30 members divided into fundamental research, quantitative research, and international investment teams [6][7] - This structure allows for specialization and comprehensive coverage of key industries and emerging opportunities, enhancing decision-making efficiency [7][8] Market Timing and Signals - The company utilizes the seasonal theory as a guiding principle for investment, adjusting strategies based on market conditions [8][10] - Current market conditions do not show signs of overheating, and there are no clear signals indicating a market peak [10][11]