Core Viewpoint - The new business value (NBV) of listed insurance companies in H1 2025 has exceeded expectations, driven by strong growth in the insurance liability sector and the rise of the bancassurance channel, which has contributed over 30% to the NBV of listed insurers [1][2]. Group 1: New Business Value and Growth - In H1 2025, the NBV growth rates for listed insurers were as follows: New China Life +58.4%, Ping An +39.8%, China Pacific +32.3%, China Taiping +22.8%, and China Life +20.3% [2]. - The bancassurance channel has emerged as a new growth engine for the life insurance liability sector, while individual insurance transformation continues to deepen [2]. Group 2: Property and Casualty Insurance Performance - The growth rates of original insurance premiums for the "big three" property and casualty insurers were differentiated: Ping An +7.1%, China Pacific +3.6%, and China Property +0.9%, primarily due to significant differences in non-auto insurance business [2]. - The combined operating ratio (COR) has improved significantly, with China Property at 94.8% (down 1.4 percentage points YoY), Ping An at 95.2% (down 2.6 percentage points YoY), and China Pacific at 96.3% (down 0.8 percentage points YoY) [2]. Group 3: Investment Asset Performance - The investment asset scale of listed insurers has steadily increased, with a more pronounced "barbell" asset allocation structure, showing a greater increase in stock allocation compared to bonds [2]. - As of the end of June, the stock allocation percentages were: New China Life 11.6%, Ping An 10.5%, China Pacific 9.7%, China Life 8.7%, China Taiping 8.3%, and China Property 5.4% [2]. Group 4: Profit and Dividend Distribution - The growth rates of net profit for listed insurers in H1 2025 were: New China Life +33.5%, China Property +16.9%, China Taiping +12.2%, China Pacific +11.0%, and China Life +6.9% [4]. - The mid-year cash dividend ratios have generally increased, with Ping An at 25.4% (up 2.7 percentage points YoY), China Life at 16.4% (up 1.6 percentage points YoY), New China Life at 14.1% (down 1.1 percentage points YoY), and China Property at 12.5% (up 0.2 percentage points YoY) [4]. Group 5: Market Outlook - The insurance industry is expected to maintain a high level of liability sector prosperity in the second half of the year, with potential benefits from a favorable stock market, leveraging the strong beta characteristics of the insurance sector [5]. - Recommendations include maintaining an industry rating and focusing on stocks such as China Taiping, China Pacific, and Ping An, while also considering New China Life, China Property, and China Life for their long-term investment value [5].
招商证券:25H1险企负债端表现亮眼 资产端分化明显