NEE vs. DUK: Which Utility Stock Has Better Growth Potential Now?

Industry Overview - The Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry is characterized by a regulated structure that supports stable, long-term income, minimizing earnings volatility [1] - The sector is seen as a dependable choice for income-focused investors due to steady electricity demand and attractive dividend yields [1] Transition to Clean Energy - The U.S. electric utilities industry is evolving with a focus on clean energy, driven by investments in grid modernization and renewable integration supported by federal incentives [2] - Utilities like NextEra Energy and Duke Energy are leading this transformation, positioning themselves for sustainable long-term growth in the green energy economy [2] Company Profiles NextEra Energy - NextEra Energy is recognized for its significant investments in renewable energy, including wind, solar, and battery storage, managing one of the largest portfolios of such projects globally [3] - The company has a strong financial position and a proven record of innovation, offering stability and long-term growth aligned with the green energy movement [3] Duke Energy - Duke Energy is advancing its clean energy transformation with goals to reduce carbon emissions by 50% by 2030 and achieve net-zero by 2050, alongside plans to double renewable capacity by 2030 [4] - The company continues to invest in modern infrastructure and cleaner technologies, providing stable, regulated returns while positioning for long-term growth [4] Earnings Growth Projections - NextEra Energy's earnings per share estimates for 2025 and 2026 have increased by 7.29% and 7.91% year-over-year, respectively, with long-term growth projected at 7.89% [6] - Duke Energy's earnings per share estimates for the same years have increased by 7.12% and 6.06%, with long-term growth projected at 6.56% [8] Financial Performance Metrics - NextEra Energy has a return on equity (ROE) of 12.31%, surpassing Duke Energy's 9.85% and the industry average of 10.35% [7][10] - NextEra Energy's debt-to-capital ratio is 60.48%, slightly lower than Duke Energy's 62.69% and the industry average of 60.89% [13] Capital Expenditure Plans - NextEra Energy plans to invest approximately $74.6 billion from 2025 to 2029 to enhance its infrastructure and clean electricity generation assets [16] - Duke Energy plans to invest $87 billion in the same period to strengthen its electric transmission, distribution, and generation infrastructure [16] Dividend Yield - NextEra Energy's current dividend yield is 3.19%, while Duke Energy's is 3.52%, both higher than the S&P 500's yield of 1.52% [18] Valuation - NextEra Energy is trading at a Price/Earnings Forward 12-month ratio of 18.21X, slightly cheaper than Duke Energy's 18.26X, compared to the industry average of 14.43X [21] Conclusion - NextEra Energy shows better earnings estimate movements, stronger ROE, and a cheaper valuation, making it a more favorable investment choice compared to Duke Energy [23]