


Core Insights - The trend of "deposit migration" is expected to gradually manifest from 2022 to 2025, driven by policy guidance, declining interest rates, narrowing bank net interest margins, and the pressure of deposit termization [1] - Although the overall proportion of deposit migration is limited, it presents a considerable incremental opportunity for non-bank asset management (including bank wealth management, insurance, public funds, etc.) [1] - Low-risk asset management products remain the mainstream allocation direction, but there is a recent trend of rising risk appetite, indicating a potential gradual increase in residents' risk preferences [1] Group 1 - The scale of bank wealth management's fixed income+ products has increased by over 1.1 trillion yuan in the first eight months [1] - Insurance capital has increased stock allocations by over 640 billion yuan in the first half of the year [1] - The incremental funds entering the stock market are primarily from high-net-worth individuals, with a significant number of ordinary residents not yet participating [1] Group 2 - There has not been a large-scale substantial flow of funds between stocks and bonds, indicating that the stock-bond dynamic is likely to become more muted [1] - The space for further declines in the bond market appears limited [1]