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西部证券:首予药明合联(02268)“买入”评级 项目数及在手订单高速增长
智通财经网·2025-09-23 02:44

Core Viewpoint - The report from Western Securities initiates coverage on WuXi AppTec (02268) with a "Buy" rating, projecting significant revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027 [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenues for WuXi AppTec are projected to be CNY 60.01 billion, CNY 81.13 billion, and CNY 107.36 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 48.1%, 35.2%, and 32.3% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be CNY 16.07 billion, CNY 21.71 billion, and CNY 29.10 billion for the same years, with growth rates of 50.3%, 35.1%, and 34.1% respectively [1] Group 2: Industry Dynamics - There is strong global demand and a shortage of production capacity in the industry, prompting the company to increase capital expenditures (CAPEX) to over CNY 7 billion by 2029 to enhance its global leadership position [2] - The ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugate) research and development is experiencing a surge, with Chinese companies expected to benefit from their competitive advantages in the supply chain [2] Group 3: Capacity Expansion and Strategy - WuXi AppTec plans to invest CNY 15.6 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, with approximately CNY 9 billion allocated to its Singapore facility and CNY 4.5 billion to its Wuxi facility [2] - The company adheres to a "global dual-plant production" strategy, with production bases in Shanghai, Wuxi, and Changzhou in China, as well as a new facility in Singapore, aimed at enhancing supply chain competitiveness [2] Group 4: Project Growth and Order Backlog - The number of projects and backlog orders are growing rapidly, with a total of 858 drug discovery projects since inception, and 37 new comprehensive projects signed in the first half of 2025 [3] - The total backlog of uncompleted orders reached USD 1.329 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 57.9%, with new contract amounts growing by 48.4%, particularly strong in North America [3] Group 5: Technological Advancements - WuXi AppTec has upgraded its WuXiDARx technology for conjugation, expanding the possibilities for different DAR (Drug-to-Antibody Ratio) requirements in ADC drugs [3] - The integration of CMC (Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls) strategy has significantly shortened the development cycle for many ADC projects to 15 months or less, nearly halving the industry standard [3]