Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of major currency pairs against the US dollar, highlighting fluctuations in exchange rates and upcoming economic indicators that may influence market movements. Currency Analysis - Australian Dollar (AUD/USD): The AUD/USD is attempting to break through the range of 0.6400 to 0.6600, with resistance at the 2025 high of 0.6679. A further breakthrough could target the peak of 0.6687 from November 2024, with a psychological level at 0.7000. The first support level is at the August low of 0.6414, just above the 200-day simple moving average of 0.6392 and the June low of 0.6372. Momentum indicators show bullish signals, with the RSI above 69 indicating potential for further upside, while the ADX around 19 suggests the trend is gaining momentum [4]. - Euro (EUR/USD): The EUR/USD has broken through the resistance range of 1.1780-1.1790, which is seen as a key signal for bullish trading. The daily chart's oscillators continue to show positive momentum and are far from overbought territory, indicating that the path of least resistance for the EUR/USD is upward. Any subsequent pullbacks may be viewed as buying opportunities, with limited expected retracement [4]. - British Pound (GBP/USD): The GBP/USD has fallen below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of its upward trend since the August low, around 1.3500, confirming a negative outlook for the pound against the dollar. The daily chart's oscillators have begun to show negative trends, suggesting that the minimum resistance path for prices remains downward. Prices may test the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.3435-1.3430, and further selling could lead to a drop below the 1.3400 level, potentially reaching the monthly low of 1.3335-1.3330 [5]. Economic Indicators - Key economic data to be released includes the preliminary manufacturing PMI for France, Germany, the Eurozone, and the UK, as well as the US second-quarter current account and various PMI readings from the US. These indicators are crucial for assessing economic health and may impact currency valuations [7].
9月23日汇市早评：美联储博斯蒂克预期今年只降息一次 美元指数跌破97.50关口
Jin Tou Wang·2025-09-23 02:48