Core Viewpoint - The solar stock sector in China is experiencing a collective decline, influenced by rising upstream prices and a weak demand outlook, despite previous price increases in the polysilicon market [1][1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - New Special Energy (01799) fell by 4.18% to HKD 7.79 [1] - Fuyao Glass (06865) decreased by 3.86% to HKD 10.96 [1] - Xinyi Solar (00968) dropped by 2.1% to HKD 3.27 [1] - Xinyi Energy (03868) declined by 2.34% to HKD 1.25 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Goldman Sachs reported that the solar industry in mainland China saw stock prices rise since early July, driven by price increases in upstream materials, with multicrystalline silicon prices rising approximately 40% from July to August [1] - In September, companies indicated further price increases to offset additional costs from production quota controls and capacity acquisitions [1] - The market has priced in a polysilicon price of RMB 60 per kilogram, but this level appears too high given the weak demand outlook and the accelerating cost reduction among leading companies [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - CICC noted that the photovoltaic industry experienced a rush in installations in the first half of the year and price stabilization in the third quarter, alleviating some operational pressures, although debt pressures remain significant and supply-demand dynamics have not improved markedly [1] - The necessity for "anti-involution" remains, with ongoing efforts from various ministries, associations, and companies leading to clearer solutions in certain areas, despite substantial challenges ahead [1] - The firm maintains a positive outlook on the continued advancement of "anti-involution" and the resilience of the sector [1]
港股异动 | 光伏股集体走低 机构指国内多晶硅价格水平过高 行业供需关系尚未明显改善