Zheng Quan Shi Bao·2025-09-23 05:39Market Overview - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks experienced a significant adjustment, with the ChiNext Index initially rising nearly 1.6% before turning negative, and the Shanghai Composite Index dipping below 3,800 points [1][3] - The market saw a high level of selling pressure, with nearly 5,000 stocks declining across the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges [3] Investor Behavior - Analysts suggest that the upcoming holiday may lead to increased risk aversion among leveraged funds, prompting a wave of profit-taking [1][3] - The financing balance has reached 2.4 trillion yuan, indicating a substantial scale of leveraged investments, which could trigger market volatility if risk factors arise [3][4] External Market Influences - Recent strong performances in major markets such as the US, Japan, and Europe may attract capital back to those markets, especially since they will remain open during the National Day holiday [4] - The stability of the RMB exchange rate above 7.1 and the USD index around 97 may influence investor sentiment [4] Sector Performance - The banking sector in A-shares showed resilience, with several banks like Nanjing Bank and Qilu Bank seeing gains of nearly 5% and over 3% respectively, while sectors like tourism, real estate, and technology faced significant declines [3][4] - The Hong Kong market also faced declines, with the Hang Seng Index dropping over 1% and the Hang Seng Tech Index falling more than 2% [3] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Despite the current market adjustments, the overall risk appetite may not have significantly decreased, as indicated by the performance of long-term government bonds [6] - Analysts believe that there may still be a window of opportunity in the market post-National Day, with potential for a rebound in certain sectors [6][7] - The interplay between domestic fundamentals weakening and improving overseas liquidity could lead to a high-level market fluctuation, with a focus on structural opportunities [6][7]