智通财经网·2025-09-23 06:17Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic glass industry is experiencing a recovery in profitability due to improved supply-demand dynamics and industry self-discipline measures aimed at reducing excessive competition [1][5]. Industry Overview - As of September 19, the inventory of photovoltaic glass reached 1.3 million tons, the lowest in nearly a year [1]. - The production capacity of photovoltaic glass was 12.9 million tons per day, with an industry operating rate of 51.59% as of the end of August [1]. - Photovoltaic glass prices have been rising since July, with average prices for 3.2mm and 2.0mm single-layer coated glass at 20.25 and 13.35 yuan per square meter, respectively, reflecting increases of 1.75 and 2.5 yuan per square meter since early July [1][2]. Market Dynamics - The "anti-involution" actions within the industry are key to driving price recovery, with several companies planning to collectively reduce production by 30% by July 2025 [1]. - The central government's policies are supporting these self-discipline efforts, aiming to eliminate low-price competition and promote product quality [1]. Company Performance - Major photovoltaic glass companies showed signs of recovery in Q2 2025, with Fuyao achieving a net profit of 155 million yuan, a 46% increase quarter-on-quarter, and a gross margin improvement of approximately 5 percentage points to around 16.7% [3]. - Qibin Group reported a net profit of 420 million yuan in Q2 2025, a 14% year-on-year increase, with revenue from photovoltaic glass business reaching 3.2 billion yuan, up 11% year-on-year [3]. Competitive Landscape - Leading photovoltaic glass companies are expected to demonstrate stronger resilience and profitability due to their scale, cost, and technological advantages [4]. - Fuyao and Xinyi Solar together hold over 50% market share, providing them with significant negotiating power in pricing and capacity adjustments [4]. Investment Outlook - There is optimism regarding the profitability and valuation recovery of leading companies as the anti-involution policies are implemented and capacity adjustments accelerate [5]. - Companies like Fuyao (601865.SH) and Qibin Group (601636.SH) are positioned to achieve both profitability and valuation recovery during the industry's resurgence [5].