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国庆节前加油守住“7元线”,机构预计下轮调价还要继续降
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-09-23 07:30

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that domestic gasoline and diesel prices will not be adjusted this time, maintaining a low price level across most regions [1] - Domestic refined oil prices have experienced nineteen rounds of adjustments, showing a pattern of "six increases, seven decreases, and six suspensions," with overall price declines of 405 yuan/ton for gasoline and 390 yuan/ton for diesel compared to the end of 2024 [1] - Current gasoline and diesel prices are slightly lower by about 0.1 yuan per liter compared to the same period in 2024, but have seen a larger decline compared to the end of 2023 [1] Group 2 - The international oil market is facing oversupply risks due to OPEC+'s strong production increase amid concerns over macroeconomic conditions and fossil fuel demand [2] - Brent crude oil futures prices have decreased by 4.04% to $73.93 per barrel from early 2024 to September 20, and by 11.33% to $65.6 per barrel since the beginning of this year [2] - The market is currently experiencing a tug-of-war between geopolitical factors, demand resilience, and increased supply, which is influencing the recent downward trend in oil prices [2] Group 3 - The next price adjustment window will open on October 13, with expectations of a downward trend in refined oil prices based on current international oil price levels [3] - OPEC+ is set to initiate a new round of production increases starting in October, contributing to concerns over supply surplus amid a lack of significant escalation in geopolitical tensions [3] - Overall, the probability of a price decrease in the next round of refined oil adjustments is considered high due to the prevailing market conditions [3]