智通财经网·2025-09-23 08:48Core Viewpoint - Cathay Securities maintains revenue forecasts for Xiaomi Group-W (01810) for FY2025E-FY2027E at RMB 489.1 billion, 641.8 billion, and 758.4 billion respectively, with adjusted net profit estimates at RMB 45.4 billion, 68.1 billion, and 83.6 billion. The stable delivery of Xiaomi cars, competitive advantage in home appliances, and the upcoming smartphone launches are seen as important catalysts. The target price remains at HKD 77.5 with a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1: Automotive Performance - Xiaomi's car delivery volumes have remained stable at over 30,000 units in July and August, with expectations to exceed the annual target of 350,000 deliveries for 2025 [2]. - The second-phase factory is expected to ramp up production faster than the first phase due to accumulated supply chain and production line experience [2]. Group 2: Home Appliances - Xiaomi's air conditioner shipments exceeded 5.4 million units in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 60%, with growth rates surpassing 50% for three consecutive quarters [3]. - The new Wuhan home appliance factory is set to enhance Xiaomi's competitive advantage in the home appliance sector, supported by a high-end strategy to narrow the price gap with leading brands [3]. Group 3: Smartphone Innovations - The upcoming launch of the Xiaomi 17 Pro and Pro Max, featuring a customizable back screen, is anticipated to be a significant catalyst for future growth [4]. - Pre-orders for the Xiaomi 17 series have doubled compared to the previous generation, indicating strong market interest [4]. - The company expects marginal improvements in smartphone revenue and gross margins in Q4 with the release of new Xiaomi and Redmi series products [4].