Core Viewpoint - The electric pickup truck market is facing significant challenges, with many automakers struggling to achieve profitability and sales growth in this segment [1][11][12] Industry Overview - Full-size trucks have historically been a major profit driver for automakers in Detroit, but the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is complicating this dynamic [1][11] - The electric pickup segment has failed to achieve substantial sales, with total registrations not surpassing 50,000 through July, contrasting sharply with the hundreds of thousands of gasoline-powered trucks sold annually [7] Company-Specific Insights - Tesla's Cybertruck has been labeled a commercial flop, with only 15,211 U.S. registrations year-to-date through July, representing a 14% decline compared to the same period in 2024 [3] - Rivian's R1T saw a 37% drop in U.S. registrations year-to-date through July, with July registrations down 40% [5] - Ford's F-150 Lightning experienced a 12% decline in registrations through July, with a 15% drop in July alone [5] - General Motors is the only automaker showing positive registration growth in the EV truck segment, with its Silverado EV, Sierra EV, and Hummer EV all posting gains [5] Economic Factors - The cost structure of electric pickups is fundamentally different from gasoline trucks, with battery costs significantly impacting margins [8] - Gasoline-powered trucks can command prices 2 to 3 times higher than sedans, leading to unprecedented profit margins, while electric trucks struggle to achieve similar profitability due to high battery costs [7][8] Future Outlook - There is potential for improvement as battery prices are expected to decrease, which could enhance the viability of electric pickups [9] - Ford is innovating its production process to improve efficiency and aims to produce a profitable electric pickup early in its lifecycle [10]
Maybe Lucid Was Right All Along -- Bad News for Truck Makers