“9.24”行情这一年：港股从17000点跃升至27000点，“造富神话”能否继续？

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has experienced significant volatility over the past year, with the Hang Seng Index rising from around 17,000 points to over 27,000 points, marking a new high since 2022, driven by strong performance in sectors like AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, and new consumption [1][2][12] Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index reached a peak of 27,000 points in September 2024, following a series of financial policy announcements and a surprise rate cut by the Federal Reserve [2] - The Hang Seng Technology Index also showed strong performance, climbing from approximately 3,500 points to 6,461 points during the same period [2] - Recent market trends indicate a slight pullback, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,159 points, down 0.7%, and the Hang Seng Technology Index at 6,167 points, down 1.45% [1] Sector Analysis - The market has seen a structural shift with active rotation among sectors, including AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals, leading to significant stock price increases for major players like Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation and Alibaba [7][10] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector has also gained traction, with companies like Innovent Biologics and BeiGene entering substantial partnerships, contributing to a rise in the Hang Seng Innovative Pharmaceutical Index by over 100% [7] Investment Trends - Over the past year, 543 stocks have doubled in price, with notable performers in consumer discretionary, healthcare, and financial sectors, including companies like Genscript Biotech and Zai Lab [9] - The Hong Kong IPO market remains robust, with 51 IPOs raising HKD 128 billion in the first seven months of the year, surpassing the total for the previous year [10] Liquidity and Capital Flow - The liquidity situation in the Hong Kong market has improved significantly, with average daily trading volume increasing by 118% year-on-year to HKD 2,402 billion [2][11] - Southbound capital inflow has been driven by domestic investors seeking stable returns and growth opportunities in Hong Kong, particularly in dividend-paying and growth sectors [11] Future Outlook - Analysts remain optimistic about the future of the Hong Kong stock market, anticipating continued valuation recovery in sectors like technology and new consumption, despite potential short-term lag due to A-share market dynamics [12][13] - The current market cycle is viewed as being in its mid-stage, with liquidity and valuation cycles leading the way, while the earnings cycle is just beginning [12]