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Barrick Mining vs. Agnico Eagle: Which Gold Miner is Shining Brighter?
ZACKSยท2025-09-23 12:31

Core Insights - Barrick Mining Corporation and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited are leading gold producers benefiting from soaring gold prices driven by geopolitical tensions and central bank purchases [1][2][3] - Gold prices have increased approximately 43% this year, reaching over $3,700 per ton, influenced by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and trade uncertainties [3][4] Barrick Mining Corporation - Barrick is advancing key growth projects such as Goldrush, Pueblo Viejo expansion, and Reko Diq, which are expected to significantly boost production [5][6] - The Goldrush mine aims for 400,000 ounces of annual production by 2028, while the Reko Diq project is projected to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually [6][7] - Barrick's liquidity is strong, with cash and equivalents around $4.8 billion and operating cash flows of approximately $1.3 billion, up 15% year-over-year [8] - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 and has a dividend yield of 1.8% with a payout ratio of 25% [9][10] - However, Barrick faces challenges with rising costs, with cash costs per ounce increasing by 17% and AISC rising to $1,684, reflecting higher operational costs [11][12] Agnico Eagle Mines Limited - Agnico Eagle is focused on growth projects like Odyssey, Detour Lake, and Hope Bay, which are expected to enhance production and cash flows [13][14] - The Hope Bay Project has proven reserves of 3.4 million ounces and is anticipated to generate significant cash flow [14] - AEM's operating cash flow for the second quarter was approximately $1.85 billion, a 92% increase from the previous year, with free cash flow of $1.3 billion [18][19] - The company has reduced long-term debt by $550 million, ending the quarter with a net cash position of $963 million, and offers a dividend yield of 1% with a payout ratio of 27% [20] - AEM's AISC was $1,289 per ounce, marking a 9% increase from the prior quarter, indicating rising production costs [21][22] Comparative Analysis - Year-to-date, Barrick's stock has surged 128.2%, while Agnico Eagle's stock has increased by 106.1%, both outperforming the industry average [23] - Barrick trades at a forward earnings multiple of 14.74, which is a discount compared to the industry average, while AEM trades at a premium with a multiple of 22.22 [24][25] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects Barrick's 2025 sales and EPS to rise by 19% and 62.7%, respectively, while AEM's estimates imply growth of 30.6% in sales and 67.4% in EPS [30][31] - AEM's return on equity stands at 13.8%, higher than Barrick's 8.2%, indicating more efficient use of shareholder funds [32] Investment Considerations - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from the current gold price environment, with strong project pipelines and financial health [34] - AEM's higher dividend growth rate and lower leverage suggest it may offer better investment prospects compared to Barrick in the current market [34]