CarMax Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect

Core Insights - CarMax, Inc. (KMX) is set to release its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on September 25, with consensus estimates for earnings per share (EPS) at $1.03 and revenues at $7.05 billion, indicating year-over-year growth [1][8] - The consensus estimate for KMX's quarterly revenues suggests a year-over-year growth of 0.6%, while earnings estimates imply a 21.2% increase from the previous year [1][2] Financial Performance - In the first quarter of fiscal 2026, CarMax reported an adjusted EPS of $1.38, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.18, and net sales of $7.55 billion, exceeding the estimate of $7.52 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [2] - The service gross margin improved by $30 million year-over-year in Q1, driven by new fees and efficiency initiatives, which are expected to continue positively impacting margins in Q2 [3] Market Conditions - The average age of light vehicles in the U.S. has increased to 12.8 years, which may reduce demand in the wholesale channel and soften prices; the average selling price of KMX's wholesale vehicles declined to $7,959 from $8,094 year-over-year [4] - The decline in wholesale vehicle gross profit per unit to $1,047 from $1,064 may pressure CarMax's margin performance in the upcoming quarter [4] Earnings Expectations - CarMax has an Earnings ESP of -6.67%, indicating a lower Most Accurate Estimate compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, which suggests a lower likelihood of an earnings beat for the upcoming quarter [5][6] - The current Zacks Rank for KMX is 3 (Hold), which does not favor a strong earnings performance [6]