国泰海通证券梁中华：宏观政策将保持积极

Core Viewpoint - The domestic macroeconomic fundamentals have significantly exceeded expectations this year, with particularly strong growth in the first half despite external uncertainties [1] Economic Structure - There is a notable divergence in economic structure: the supply side is performing well, while the demand side requires further policy support, especially in real estate and consumption sectors [1] - The economic total is experiencing high growth, but price indicators remain low, indicating a disparity between total economic growth and pricing [1] Policy Outlook - Future domestic policy direction is expected to remain positive, with increased efforts in both monetary and fiscal policies [1] - There is potential for further reductions in reserve requirement ratios and interest rates, with various policy rates likely to continue decreasing [1] - The central bank is anticipated to maintain a loose monetary policy environment to support the recovery of domestic demand [1] - Narrow fiscal policy (budgetary fiscal) is unlikely to see significant additional deficits in the coming months, while broad fiscal policy will become a focal point for action [1] - Domestic policies will concentrate on stimulating the demand side of the economy through coordinated monetary and fiscal efforts to achieve more balanced and stable growth [1]