2 Small Caps to Weather Possible Stagflation

Economic Context - Current economic conditions are characterized as "stagflation-lite," indicating slowing growth alongside inflation, although unemployment remains relatively stable [1] - The impact of tariffs on prices has not fully materialized and may be temporary [1] Defensive Investment Opportunities - Two small-cap food companies are highlighted as defensive plays that are likely to withstand the stagflation environment due to the non-discretionary nature of food products [2] Village Super Market, Inc. (VLGEA) - Operates 34 supermarkets under ShopRite and Fairway brands across several states and is the second-largest member of Wakefern Food Corporation [3] - The company is investing $75 million in capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 to upgrade and expand its supermarket chain, including new store constructions [4] - For the fiscal third quarter, VLGEA reported earnings per share of 75 cents, up from 60 cents a year earlier, with sales increasing 3.2% year over year to $563.7 million [5] - Net income rose 24% to $11.2 million, with adjusted net income increasing 21% to $11.6 million [5] - The stock is trading at 0.19X trailing 12-month EV/sales, significantly lower than the Zacks sub-industry average of 1.15X [6] - The stock's trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA is 4.08X, compared to 18.37X for the Zacks sub-industry [7] Armanino Foods of Distinction, Inc. (AMNF) - Engaged in producing and marketing upscale frozen and refrigerated food products, including pesto sauces and stuffed pasta [8] - For the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, AMNF reported net sales of $19.97 million, a 14% increase from the previous year, with gross profit rising 26% to $9.11 million [9] - Net income climbed 27% to $4.85 million, resulting in earnings per share of 15.44 cents, a 30% increase from 11.86 cents a year earlier [9] - The company has $4.65 million authorized for future buybacks and offers a dividend yield of 1.6% [10] - The stock is trading at 3.81X trailing 12-month EV/sales, higher than the Zacks sub-industry average of 1.57X [10] - The trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA for AMNF is 12.45X, comparable to the Zacks sub-industry average of 12.19X [11] - Both companies are characterized as "steady eddies" with moderate ongoing appreciation potential and currently hold a Zacks Outperform rating [11]