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UUUU vs. NXE: Which Uranium Stock Holds More Power for Investors?
ZACKSยท2025-09-23 16:31

Core Viewpoint - Energy Fuels Inc. (UUUU) and NexGen Energy (NXE) are positioned to benefit from the global shift towards nuclear energy as a clean power source, with UUUU being a leading U.S. producer of natural uranium and an emerging producer of rare earth elements, while NXE focuses on uranium exploration and development in Canada [1][25]. Uranium Market Dynamics - Uranium prices have rebounded to $76.5 per pound, nearing a two-month high, driven by expectations of expanding nuclear power capacity and tightening supply [2]. - India plans to increase its nuclear capacity to at least 100 GW by 2047, and the U.S. aims to quadruple its capacity to 400 GW by 2050 [2]. - The U.S. and U.K. governments signed the Technology Prosperity Deal to accelerate reactor approvals and reduce dependence on Russian nuclear fuel by 2028 [2]. Energy Fuels Overview - Energy Fuels has produced two-thirds of all uranium in the U.S. since 2017 and has the potential to produce 4-6 million pounds of uranium annually [4]. - The company operates the White Mesa Mill, the only licensed conventional uranium mill in the U.S., which also processes rare earth elements and evaluates medical isotopes recovery [5]. - In Q2 2025, Energy Fuels produced approximately 665,000 pounds of uranium, generating $3.85 million in revenues, a 55% decline year-over-year [6][7]. - The company expects to produce between 875,000 and 1,435,000 pounds of uranium in 2025, with processing activity ramping up in Q4 [7]. - Energy Fuels plans to sell 350,000 pounds of uranium in 2025, with projections for lower costs of goods sold due to processing low-cost ores [8][9]. Rare Earth Elements Production - Energy Fuels has produced high-purity neodymium-praseodymium oxide for commercial-scale rare-earth permanent magnets, establishing a "mine-to-magnet" supply chain independent of China [10][11]. - The company is also producing pilot quantities of dysprosium oxide and plans to expand heavy rare earth oxide capacity [12]. NexGen Energy Overview - NexGen Energy's flagship Rook I project is the largest development-stage uranium project in Canada, expected to deliver up to 30 million pounds of high-grade uranium annually [13][14]. - The Arrow Deposit within the Rook I project contains 257 million pounds of uranium, with further exploration ongoing [15]. - NexGen has secured uranium sales contracts with U.S. utilities for 1 million pounds annually from 2029 to 2033, providing financial stability [16]. - As an exploration and development stage company, NexGen does not generate revenues and reported an adjusted loss of 10 cents per share in Q2 2025 [17][20]. Financial Performance and Valuation - Energy Fuels' 2025 earnings estimate is a loss of 33 cents per share, with a potential return to profitability in 2026 [19][26]. - NexGen's 2025 earnings estimate is a loss of 20 cents per share, with continued losses projected for 2026 [20]. - Year-to-date, UUUU shares have surged 203.5%, while NXE shares have gained 35.3% [22]. - Energy Fuels trades at a price-to-book multiple of 4.80X, while NXE's forward price-to-book multiple is 6.88X [23]. Conclusion - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from rising global uranium demand, with Energy Fuels having a more favorable near-term outlook due to active production and a debt-free balance sheet, while NexGen offers significant long-term potential through its Rook I project [25][26].