Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-09-23 20:28Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown significant upward momentum over the past year, with major indices experiencing substantial gains, although recent fluctuations indicate a short-term adjustment phase [1][2][3][7]. Market Performance - As of September 23, 2024, major A-share indices have recorded impressive annual increases: Shanghai Composite Index up 39.03%, Shenzhen Component Index up 62.31%, and ChiNext Index up 103.50% [3]. - The total market capitalization of A-shares rose from 74.71 trillion yuan to 113.71 trillion yuan, an increase of 39 trillion yuan, representing a growth rate of 52.20% [3]. - The trading volume on September 23 was 2.52 trillion yuan, marking a 376 billion yuan increase from the previous trading day, with 30 consecutive trading days exceeding 2 trillion yuan in volume [2][5]. Sector Performance - The technology sector has been particularly strong, with telecommunications, electronics, and comprehensive industries leading the gains, each rising over 100% in the past year [4]. - Among the 31 sectors tracked, all have shown positive growth, with telecommunications and electronics sectors seeing increases of 124.09% and 121.05%, respectively [4]. Individual Stock Highlights - Over the past year, 5,167 A-share stocks have shown positive returns, with 1,435 stocks rising over 100% and 420 stocks exceeding 200% [5]. - Notable high-performing stocks include Upwind New Materials, which surged by 1,720.50%, and ST Yushun, which increased by 1,133.01% [5]. Valuation Metrics - The rolling P/E ratios for major indices have significantly increased: Shanghai Composite from 12.24 to 16.38, Shenzhen Component from 19.59 to 30.85, and ChiNext from 23.53 to 43.62 [3][4]. - The technology sector's valuation has also risen sharply, with the telecommunications sector's rolling P/E increasing from 25.78 to 47.33 [4]. Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that the current market adjustment does not alter the medium-term upward trend, with expectations for continued growth driven by fundamental improvements in sectors related to new productive forces [6][7]. - The market is anticipated to experience increased volatility in the short term, but the overall positive trend is expected to persist [7][8].