国际金融市场早知道：9月24日

Economic Outlook - OECD projects global economic growth to reach 3.2% in 2025, up from a previous estimate of 2.9% [1] - The US economic growth forecast for 2025 has been slightly raised to 1.8% from 1.6%, with a 2026 forecast of 1.5% [1] Central Bank Actions - Federal Reserve Governor Bowman supports three rate cuts of 25 basis points each within the year, citing a deteriorating labor market [1] - The Bank of England's Chief Economist suggests accelerating the balance sheet reduction process, indicating stronger market conditions than previously anticipated [2] - The Swedish central bank has lowered its interest rate by 25 basis points to 1.75%, marking the third cut this year [3] Market Performance - US second-quarter current account deficit significantly decreased by $188.5 billion to $251.3 billion, the lowest level since Q3 2023 [5] - The September manufacturing PMI for the US was reported at 52, while the services PMI was at 53.9, both below expectations and marking three-month lows [5] Global Market Dynamics - Eurozone's September manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5, indicating contraction, while the services PMI rose to 51.4, exceeding expectations [6] - The UK's September manufacturing PMI dropped to 46.2, a five-month low, with the services PMI also declining to 51.9 [6] - Germany's services PMI increased to 52.5, an eight-month high, while its manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5, a four-month low [7] Commodity Prices - COMEX gold futures rose by 0.58% to $3796.9 per ounce, while silver futures increased by 0.12% to $44.265 per ounce [8] - US crude oil futures climbed by 2.20% to $63.65 per barrel, and Brent crude rose by 1.82% to $67.17 per barrel [8]