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中银证券:市场景气度持续 下半年DRAM或迎来全面涨价
智通财经网·2025-09-24 05:55

Group 1 - The DRAM market is experiencing significant price increases due to the discontinuation of older process DRAM products by manufacturers, with expectations of a 20%-50% quarter-on-quarter price increase in Q4 2025 [1][3] - Nanya Technology's contract price surged by 70% in Q3 2025 and is expected to rise by another 50% in Q4 2025, while Winbond's prices increased by 60% in Q3 2025 and are projected to rise by 20% in Q4 2025 [1][3] - The market is facing a supply-demand imbalance as major manufacturers exit the niche DRAM market, leading to continued price increases throughout the year [1][4] Group 2 - The NAND flash market is seeing rising prices driven by increased capital expenditures from domestic internet companies, with Alibaba investing 38.6 billion yuan in AI and cloud infrastructure in Q2 2025 [2] - The demand for enterprise-level storage applications is expected to grow significantly due to the acceleration of AI applications, with a potential price increase in the storage market anticipated in Q4 2025 [2] - The NOR Flash market is also expected to see price increases in Q4 2025 due to healthy supply-demand dynamics, with double-digit percentage increases likely [4] Group 3 - The niche storage market is experiencing price increases due to structural shortages, with companies like Winbond, Nanya Technology, and Macronix showing consistent revenue growth since 2025 [4] - Customized storage solutions are gaining traction, with companies that have a first-mover advantage likely to benefit from the industry wave [4] Group 4 - Investment recommendations include focusing on niche storage companies such as Zhaoyi Innovation, Puran, and Jucheng, as well as module manufacturers and storage supporting chip companies [5]