美媒：美关税不确定性预计将拖累今年全球经济增长

Group 1 - The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is expected to drag down global economic growth due to tariff-related uncertainties, with full effects anticipated to manifest by 2026 [1][2] - The OECD's latest economic outlook report indicates that the impact of U.S. tariffs is beginning to show, with signs of reduced consumer spending in the U.S. and affected labor markets in countries facing tariff pressures [1][2] - Global economic growth is projected to be 3.2% in 2025, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from previous forecasts, driven by increased manufacturing activity as trade partners rush to import goods before tariffs take effect [1] Group 2 - The OECD predicts that global economic growth will further slow to 2.9% by 2026 as the full impact of tariffs affects supply chains, labor markets, and consumer behavior [2] - The U.S. economy is expected to feel the effects of tariffs starting in 2026, with growth rates projected to decline from 2.8% in 2024 to 1.8% in 2025 and further to 1.5% in 2026 [2] - The OECD emphasizes the need for effective international cooperation to resolve trade tensions and enhance economic growth potential [3]