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Unveiling Vail Resorts (MTN) Q4 Outlook: Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics
Vail ResortsVail Resorts(US:MTN) ZACKS·2025-09-24 14:15

Core Viewpoint - Vail Resorts (MTN) is expected to report a quarterly loss of -$4.78 per share, a decline of 2.4% year over year, with revenues forecasted at $269.98 million, reflecting a 1.7% increase compared to the previous year [1] Financial Estimates - Analysts predict 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue' will reach $88.25 million, indicating a year-over-year change of -1.3% [4] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue' is expected to be $179.08 million, showing a change of +1.8% from the prior-year quarter [4] - The combined 'Net Revenue- Resort net revenue' is estimated at $267.74 million, suggesting a change of +0.9% year over year [4] Specific Revenue Components - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Other' is projected at $71.77 million, reflecting a -5.4% change from the year-ago quarter [5] - 'Net Revenue- Lodging net revenue- Managed condominium rooms' is expected to be $10.46 million, indicating a -0.3% year-over-year change [5] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Retail/rental' is forecasted at $26.29 million, showing an increase of +8.2% from the prior-year quarter [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Dining' is estimated at $20.51 million, indicating a +14.2% change from the prior-year quarter [6] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Ski school' is projected at $10.27 million, reflecting an +8.2% year-over-year change [7] - 'Net Revenue- Mountain net revenue- Lift' is expected to be $44.64 million, indicating a -7.5% change from the prior-year quarter [7] Lodging and Mountain Metrics - 'Lodging - Managed condominium statistics - RevPAR' is expected to reach $46.15, slightly down from $46.30 year-ago value [8] - 'Lodging - Owned hotel statistics - RevPAR' is forecasted at $178.07, compared to $175.22 in the same quarter last year [8] - 'Mountain - ETP' is estimated at $59.70, down from $69.04 reported in the same quarter last year [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Vail Resorts have returned -8%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has increased by +3.1% [9] - Currently, MTN holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the overall market in the near future [9]