Yahoo Financeยท2025-09-24 15:18Group 1: Earnings Estimates and Market Outlook - Susquehanna Financial Group has cut earnings estimates for asset-based truckload carriers by mid-single- to low-double-digit percentages ahead of the third-quarter earnings season, indicating a soft market outlook [1] - Analyst Bascome Majors has reduced fourth-quarter forecasts for most truckload-related companies, projecting that the truckload market is unlikely to see upward price and margin momentum in the near term [2] - Third-quarter earnings-per-share estimates were cut by 12% for Schneider National and 11% for Werner Enterprises, with smaller reductions of 6% for J.B. Hunt and 5% for Knight-Swift [3] Group 2: Market Conditions and Consumer Spending - Concerns have been raised regarding consumer spending through the holiday season, with July being noted as the peak for container imports [4] - The Contract Load Accepted Volume Index indicates potential mid- to high-single-digit declines in spot rates for the fourth quarter if current trends continue [5] - The National Truckload Index shows that spot rates are slightly ahead of year-ago levels, suggesting a stable but cautious market environment [6] Group 3: Future Projections and Industry Dynamics - Fourth-quarter earnings estimates were cut by high-single digits, with Werner experiencing a 16% reduction, and 2026 estimates were also revised down by 9% to 17% [7] - Despite the downward revisions, there is a more constructive outlook for next year as the truckload supply side is expected to rationalize more rapidly into 2026 [7] - Knight-Swift Transportation's rating was downgraded to "neutral" due to the lower EPS outlook, with a new share price target set at $43, down from $52 [8]